Category Archives for Marketplace Information
Information on the coal market place.
This Coalhub report forecasts met coal prices will remain low and then “rebalance” between 2017-2019.
The latest quarterly contract settlement of $93/t is expected to shake up the market. Seaborne met. coal exports are forecast to fall this year, due to reductions from US, Australia and Canada.
Chinese import demand is forecast to fall in 2015 and 2016, which will prevent a significant price recovery.
Average unit metallurgical coal costs are projected to fall by an average 19% y/y in 2015. However, further cost reductions will be difficult to achieve.
I continue to receive almost weekly requests from reporters who are asking for comment on California passing a law to force their pension plans to divest from coal. To help speed the process, I prepared a statement on the issue and have reprinted it here for Coalblog readers.
Regarding the issue of California passing SB 185, a law which requires state pension plans (CalPERS and CalSTRS) to divest from their coal holdings.
First off, with noted environmentally-focused investors like George Soros and Tom Clarke investing in coal stocks and coal companies it seems that the state of California may actually be behind the trends on this issue.
Betsy Monseu’s recently published article in the Electricity Journal is freely available via the link below until September 22nd. We encourage everyone to check it out while it is still available.
Coal is under pressure in the United States, and not the natural kind of pressure involved in its creation from plant material. The pressure coal is under today is of a distinctly unnatural kind, shaped by an increasingly far-reaching and unbalanced regulatory agenda. The energy playing field continues to be tilted away from coal, a primary target of that agenda. Yet coal’s leading position as a critical fuel in the electricity marketplace continues. Though its share of that marketplace has generally been trending down over the past several years, coal remains the largest of any fuel source for electric generation. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts coal to retain the leading position in 2015 as well as over the longer term – including a 34 percent share in 2040.
Editor’s note: I just posted this piece as response to yet another article that plays the tired and cliched “dirty coal” game. It’s time for those of us who support American jobs, as well as affordable, secure, domestic AND clean energy to start speaking up. – We need both clean AND affordable Energy.
Coal can and should play a pivotal role in our energy supply
I was disheartened to see Nithin Coca’s recent article make use of the tired epithet “dirty coal” to attack an energy resource that – despite recent market difficulties – continues to provide this country with almost 40% of its electricity needs. Unfortunately the term “dirty coal” conveniently and simplistically ignores the real-life use of technology that makes coal increasingly clean today.
The American Coal Council welcomes Fredrick (Fred) Palmer as our special guest speaker at the upcoming Coal Market Strategies conference August 10-12, 2015 in Park City, Utah.
Mr. Palmer has been involved with Peabody Energy since 2001, serving for many years as Peabody’s Senior Vice President of Government Relations and most recently as Special Advisor to the Office of the Executive Chairman. As of July 2015, he serves Peabody in a consulting role. Mr. Palmer is a member of the National Coal Council, Executive Committee, and Chairman, Coal Policy Committee.
While coal has lost market share in the U.S. due to a mix of low gas prices and extreme, anti-coal regulation, Rob Nikolewski’s recent Watchdog.org article shows how coal use is growing rapidly around the world.
“Coal remained the fastest-growing fossil fuel in 2013 in both absolute and relative terms, accounting for approximately 30 percent of global primary energy consumption, second only to oil,” said an IEA report on coal markets, released in December.
Another IEA report, published in May, tracking the progress of clean energy showed low-priced coal was the fastest-growing fossil fuel in 2013 and that coal production worldwide outpaced the growth of oil and gas in 2012.
The National Journal is reporting that Gov. Mike Pence, Indiana has sent a letter to the White House openly rejecting the EPA’s “ill-conceived and poorly constructed” Clean Power Plan. Without “demonstrable” and “significant” improvements in the proposed regulation, Pence says his state “will not comply” with the rule.
Gov. Pence also goes on to note that Indiana will use any means available to block the rule’s implementation and criticizes the rule as damaging to Indiana’s economy. Pence notes that the CPP will impact system reliability, force the state to fundamentally restructure its generation system, and that it oversteps the agency’s legal and Constitutional boundaries.
Interesting article on the Utility Dive website that discusses the likelihood of Elon Musk’s stationary storage tech disrupting utility generators.
The short version of the article’s primary argument is that most people won’t have the space or finances to power a home solely on solar panels and Tesla’s batteries. It is much easier and far less expensive to use the existing transmission and utility network to act as the battery.
A recent report by Management Information Services takes a look at the massive, statewide impacts of TVA’s planned closure of almost 3,900 MW of coal-fueled generation and expectations for further closures in the near future. The broad, widespread economic and social impacts on Tennessee’s people, their economy, industry, and productivity are frightening.
A short read of the report’s findings are that, as TVA drops coal from its generation fleet, the people of Tennessee will pay dearly.
- 20% higher electricity rates
- $7 billion reduction in gross state product
- $700 million in lost state and local government tax revenues